Adam Lowry vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 64.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 71.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 56.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 9: Lowry 4-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
51.0% (408)
-1.7%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
0.0% (6)
+67.7%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
35.9% (78)
+6.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +67.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.2% (671)
50.8% (258)
Away
47.8% (709)
44.9% (234)
By Period
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
48.4%
51.6%
P2
50.1%
45.2%
P3
47.8%
47.6%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 15:59 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 11:13 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:12 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |