Adam Lowry vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 50.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 77.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 75.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
45.4% (527)
+7.3%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
41.2% (17)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
44.9% (138)
-4.9%
On power play, Lowry has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.4% (597)
46.1% (336)
Away
48.4% (583)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
48.5%
49.1%
P2
52.2%
45.3%
P3
50.5%
42.0%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |