Adam Lowry vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 60.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 51.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
43.0% (349)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
31.8% (88)
+10.5%
On even strength, Lowry has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.4% (515)
38.5% (231)
Away
52.6% (549)
43.2% (206)
By Period
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.2%
40.2%
P2
54.4%
36.0%
P3
50.8%
45.1%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
53.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 01:35 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 16:29 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |