Adam Lowry vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 26-23 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 85.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 68.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
23
(49 meetings)
26
23
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
7
9
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
12
5
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
7
9
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
44.9% (8,756)
+7.9%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
50.7% (839)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
37.9% (879)
+7.0%
On even strength, Lowry has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.5% (5,893)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.5%
45.1%
P2
51.8%
43.9%
P3
51.4%
45.3%
OT
46.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
52.9%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 16:50 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 15:59 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 11:13 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:12 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 01:35 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 16:29 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |