Adam Lowry vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 65.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 74.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 61.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Lowry 3-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (523)
46.7% (137)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (162)
39.1% (23)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Lowry is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Lowry shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.3% (354)
53.9% (89)
Away
50.7% (361)
35.2% (71)
By Period
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
48.5%
50.9%
P2
52.2%
36.7%
P3
50.9%
48.2%
Final 5 min
53.0%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |