Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 46.7% vs Monahan 51.0% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 93.3%
Defensive zone
Monahan 56.7%
Neutral zone
Monahan 83.2%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Lowry
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Lowry
Monahan
Last 9: Lowry 7-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
6
0
Lowry
Monahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Lowry
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (666)
52.1% (1,301)
-5.6%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
50.3% (342)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (172)
38.5% (96)
+6.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lowry is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Lowry shoots left. Monahan is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,110).
Home / Away
Lowry
Monahan
Home
49.9% (393)
52.7% (875)
Away
43.1% (452)
49.3% (864)
By Period
Lowry
Monahan
P1
45.1%
51.0%
P2
44.8%
51.8%
P3
49.1%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
46.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2016 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 1 | 09:36 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 14:37 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 00:44 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 18:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |