Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 51.3%). Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 41 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Monahan 51.3% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 57-46 in 103 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 79.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 77.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Lowry
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
57
-
46
(103 meetings)
57
46
Lowry
Monahan
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
8
25
Lowry
Monahan
33 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
36
5
Lowry
Monahan
41 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
13
16
Lowry
Monahan
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
51.1% (11,356)
+1.7%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
53.7% (2,580)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
46.0% (766)
-1.1%
On power play, Lowry has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Lowry
Monahan
Home
53.5% (5,893)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Lowry
Monahan
P1
51.5%
50.9%
P2
51.8%
51.7%
P3
51.4%
51.0%
OT
46.3%
53.5%
Final 5 min
52.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 19:33 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 19:12 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 13:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 09:55 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 04:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:47 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |