Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Monahan 53.9% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 51.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 87.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 68.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Lowry
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Lowry
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Lowry
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Lowry
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
54.5% (231)
-1.8%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
58.2% (67)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
52.2% (23)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Lowry
Monahan
Home
52.4% (597)
53.5% (144)
Away
48.4% (583)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Lowry
Monahan
P1
48.5%
52.5%
P2
52.2%
50.9%
P3
50.5%
60.8%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |