Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 53.1%). Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Monahan 52.8% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 72.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 78.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 57.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Lowry
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lowry
Monahan
Last 6: Lowry 3-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Lowry
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Lowry
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
51.5% (641)
+4.3%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
62.8% (129)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
33.3% (9)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Lowry
Monahan
Home
53.4% (515)
53.9% (362)
Away
52.6% (549)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Lowry
Monahan
P1
54.2%
48.0%
P2
54.4%
57.0%
P3
50.8%
54.1%
OT
37.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2022 | 3 | 17:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 15:59 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 04:50 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |