Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Monahan 54.5% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 89.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 50.5%
Neutral zone
Monahan 77.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Lowry
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Lowry
Monahan
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Lowry
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
8
2
Lowry
Monahan
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
Lowry
Monahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
57.1% (871)
-7.8%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
53.1% (262)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
44.6% (139)
-2.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Lowry
Monahan
Home
50.2% (671)
55.3% (644)
Away
47.8% (709)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Lowry
Monahan
P1
48.4%
53.9%
P2
50.1%
55.3%
P3
47.8%
54.4%
OT
66.7%
76.5%
Final 5 min
43.8%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 13:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 09:55 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 04:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:47 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:54 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 17:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 05:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |