Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 52.6%). Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Monahan 52.4% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 80.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 69.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 58.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Lowry
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Lowry
Monahan
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
0
Lowry
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Lowry
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
52.4% (853)
+1.3%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
58.6% (174)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
46.5% (144)
-3.8%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Lowry
Monahan
Home
53.0% (583)
53.4% (624)
Away
50.6% (605)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Lowry
Monahan
P1
52.1%
53.7%
P2
51.8%
52.4%
P3
52.3%
51.6%
OT
25.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.9%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 19:33 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 19:12 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |