Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Monahan 52.8% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 70.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 73.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.2%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 70.4%
29.6%
70.4%
Lowry
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lowry
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Lowry
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
53.2% (823)
+2.2%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
55.3% (159)
+28.0%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
48.4% (95)
-8.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Lowry
Monahan
Home
54.5% (402)
54.6% (529)
Away
53.3% (368)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Lowry
Monahan
P1
52.4%
49.0%
P2
56.0%
55.4%
P3
54.2%
53.6%
OT
40.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
58.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |