Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Thompson 41.2% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 68.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 67.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Lowry
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lowry
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Lowry
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
40.6% (801)
+15.2%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
44.7% (103)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
31.0% (71)
+11.3%
On even strength, Lowry has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Thompson is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Home / Away
Lowry
Thompson
Home
53.4% (515)
43.2% (507)
Away
52.6% (549)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Lowry
Thompson
P1
54.2%
37.7%
P2
54.4%
43.4%
P3
50.8%
39.5%
OT
37.5%
27.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2022 | OT | 02:32 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 06:37 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |