Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Lowry wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Thompson 43.7% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 51.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 93.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 82.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Lowry
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Lowry
Thompson
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Lowry
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
1
Lowry
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
41.9% (597)
+11.8%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
50.5% (95)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
25.0% (12)
+17.7%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Lowry is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Lowry shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Lowry
Thompson
Home
53.0% (583)
47.1% (367)
Away
50.6% (605)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Lowry
Thompson
P1
52.1%
44.2%
P2
51.8%
41.6%
P3
52.3%
42.9%
OT
25.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:32 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 05:13 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:05 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |