Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Thompson 45.3% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 54.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 82.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 70.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Lowry
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lowry
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
44.9% (642)
+10.5%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
47.9% (94)
+35.4%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
33.3% (33)
+7.1%
On power play, Lowry has a +35.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Lowry is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Lowry shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Lowry
Thompson
Home
54.5% (402)
46.0% (391)
Away
53.3% (368)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Lowry
Thompson
P1
52.4%
48.1%
P2
56.0%
44.9%
P3
54.2%
41.2%
OT
40.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
58.1%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |