Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Thompson 43.8% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 56.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 82.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 65.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 82.9%
82.9%
17.1%
Lowry
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lowry
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
43.3% (735)
+9.4%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
50.0% (26)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
36.5% (52)
+3.5%
On even strength, Lowry has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Lowry
Thompson
Home
52.4% (597)
44.5% (407)
Away
48.4% (583)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Lowry
Thompson
P1
48.5%
44.4%
P2
52.2%
44.8%
P3
50.5%
40.2%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 09:59 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |