Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Thompson 42.8% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 73.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 97.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 91.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 89.9%
89.9%
10.1%
Lowry
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
Lowry
Thompson
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
3
Lowry
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
8
3
Lowry
Thompson
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
42.9% (3,521)
+9.9%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
46.8% (372)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
33.6% (265)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,984).
Lowry shoots left. Thompson is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,011).
Home / Away
Lowry
Thompson
Home
53.5% (5,893)
44.9% (2,115)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Lowry
Thompson
P1
51.5%
44.5%
P2
51.8%
43.6%
P3
51.4%
40.2%
OT
46.3%
36.4%
Final 5 min
52.9%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:32 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 05:13 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:05 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 09:59 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 30, 2022 | OT | 02:32 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 06:37 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |