Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Thompson 44.0% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 58.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 86.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 75.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Lowry
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lowry
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
44.6% (709)
+4.7%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
41.5% (53)
+26.2%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
35.1% (97)
+7.5%
On power play, Lowry has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Lowry
Thompson
Home
50.2% (671)
45.5% (426)
Away
47.8% (709)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Lowry
Thompson
P1
48.4%
48.5%
P2
50.1%
43.8%
P3
47.8%
38.1%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |