Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Novak 46.5% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 54.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 92.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 82.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Lowry
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lowry
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
43.2% (118)
+12.6%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
47.8% (23)
+6.9%
On even strength, Lowry has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Lowry
Novak
Home
53.4% (515)
50.7% (71)
Away
52.6% (549)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Lowry
Novak
P1
54.2%
44.7%
P2
54.4%
50.0%
P3
50.8%
38.9%
Final 5 min
54.2%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 06:14 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |