Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Novak 45.6% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Novak 51.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 87.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 80.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Lowry
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Lowry
Novak
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
1
Lowry
Novak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Novak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
43.8% (384)
+8.9%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
58.8% (17)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
100.0% (1)
-60.0%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Novak is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Lowry
Novak
Home
52.4% (597)
46.5% (202)
Away
48.4% (583)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Lowry
Novak
P1
48.5%
49.2%
P2
52.2%
44.2%
P3
50.5%
40.0%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 12:56 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 01:48 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 06:17 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 11:18 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |