Scouting Report
Adrian Kempe holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 50.0% vs Zegras 41.5% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 52.2%
Defensive zone
Kempe 74.1%
Neutral zone
Kempe 63.0%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Kempe
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kempe
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (36)
39.4% (510)
+7.8%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
47.1% (34)
+30.7%
On power play, Kempe has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Kempe is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (35).
Kempe shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Kempe
Zegras
Home
60.0% (25)
42.3% (272)
Away
40.0% (25)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Kempe
Zegras
P1
57.9%
37.6%
P2
40.0%
41.5%
P3
50.0%
40.8%
Final 5 min
30.0%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
50.0%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 15:56 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |