Scouting Report
Adrian Kempe holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 49.2% vs Zegras 41.3% (+9.2%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 53.0%
Defensive zone
Zegras 65.9%
Neutral zone
Zegras 53.4%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Kempe
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (17)
36.5% (156)
+10.6%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
40.7% (27)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
0.0% (3)
+100.0%
On penalty kill, Kempe has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Kempe is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (14).
Kempe shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Kempe
Zegras
Home
38.5% (13)
38.9% (113)
Away
54.5% (11)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Kempe
Zegras
P1
33.3%
40.0%
P2
42.9%
38.1%
P3
62.5%
31.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
45.8%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%