Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 36.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.7% vs Zegras 42.6% (-10.0%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 60.6%
Defensive zone
Zegras 59.5%
Neutral zone
Zegras 54.1%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Kempe
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
32.7% (49)
41.1% (559)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Kempe is 36.7% vs left-shot opponents (30).
Kempe shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Kempe
Zegras
Home
11.1% (9)
45.7% (247)
Away
35.7% (42)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Kempe
Zegras
P1
22.2%
45.5%
P2
33.3%
36.8%
P3
25.0%
41.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
7.7%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
31.4%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
41.4%