Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 46.9% vs Zegras 43.3% (-15.3%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 51.4%
Defensive zone
Zegras 61.0%
Neutral zone
Zegras 55.4%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Kempe
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
0.0% (6)
39.8% (128)
-39.8%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
22.2% (9)
+17.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Kempe has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Kempe is 22.2% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Kempe shoots left. Zegras is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Kempe
Zegras
Home
28.6% (7)
29.7% (74)
Away
16.7% (6)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Kempe
Zegras
P1
25.0%
40.7%
P2
50.0%
35.1%
P3
0.0%
41.0%
Final 5 min
66.7%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
23.1%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.4%