Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 48.1% vs Hertl 52.3% (-11.1%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 53.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 69.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 53.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Turcotte
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (28)
51.6% (1,084)
-8.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
61.0% (246)
-61.0%
On power play, Hertl has a +61.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Turcotte is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Turcotte shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Hertl
Home
42.9% (28)
55.2% (696)
Away
0.0% (1)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Turcotte
Hertl
P1
50.0%
55.4%
P2
33.3%
54.8%
P3
41.7%
48.9%
Final 5 min
33.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
41.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%