Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 49.1% vs Hertl 54.5% (-11.9%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 63.4%
Defensive zone
Turcotte 53.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Turcotte
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (14)
54.1% (1,117)
-11.2%
On even strength, Hertl has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Turcotte is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (7).
Turcotte shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
By Period
Turcotte
Hertl
P1
44.4%
51.6%
P2
33.3%
53.6%
P3
50.0%
58.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
42.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%