Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 47.5% vs Hertl 55.4% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 54.7%
Defensive zone
Turcotte 61.1%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 55.4%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Turcotte
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Turcotte
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Turcotte
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (111)
54.1% (717)
-10.0%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
61.9% (210)
-1.9%
On even strength, Hertl has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Turcotte is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Turcotte shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Hertl
Home
46.3% (41)
58.1% (492)
Away
45.0% (80)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Turcotte
Hertl
P1
43.6%
57.1%
P2
39.0%
54.0%
P3
53.7%
56.6%
Final 5 min
37.9%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
45.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:07 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |