Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 50.0% vs Hertl 56.8% (-7.5%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 56.9%
Defensive zone
Hertl 64.3%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 50.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Turcotte
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (42)
57.0% (718)
-7.0%
On even strength, Hertl has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Turcotte is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Turcotte shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Hertl
Home
57.1% (14)
59.2% (463)
Away
46.4% (28)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Turcotte
Hertl
P1
50.0%
56.3%
P2
45.5%
55.4%
P3
53.8%
60.5%
Final 5 min
30.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
50.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%