Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.3% vs 55.3%). Copp wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 54.1% vs Duchene 54.9% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 52.1%
Defensive zone
Copp 71.0%
Neutral zone
Copp 53.4%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Copp
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Copp
Duchene
Last 5: Copp 1-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Copp
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Copp
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (319)
55.4% (1,013)
+1.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
56.3% (192)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (37)
41.2% (17)
-0.7%
On power play, Duchene has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Copp is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Copp shoots left. Duchene is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Copp
Duchene
Home
57.1% (156)
56.2% (642)
Away
54.0% (202)
54.3% (580)
By Period
Copp
Duchene
P1
64.5%
56.2%
P2
53.2%
56.5%
P3
49.6%
52.9%
Final 5 min
52.1%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 10:52 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 01:43 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |