Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Duchene 52.1% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 87.0%
Defensive zone
Copp 77.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 57.3%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Copp
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Copp
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
53.9% (193)
-3.6%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
49.2% (65)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
100.0% (1)
-54.5%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Copp is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Copp shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Copp
Duchene
Home
51.3% (667)
54.9% (113)
Away
48.3% (632)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Copp
Duchene
P1
50.2%
54.9%
P2
51.8%
52.7%
P3
48.0%
51.9%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 16:45 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |