Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Duchene 54.1% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Copp leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 80.8%
Defensive zone
Duchene 52.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 68.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Copp
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Copp
Duchene
Last 10: Copp 10-0 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
4
Copp
Duchene
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
6
0
Copp
Duchene
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
4
3
Copp
Duchene
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
53.9% (10,396)
-1.5%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
56.9% (1,665)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
49.1% (468)
-3.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Copp is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Copp shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Copp
Duchene
Home
52.7% (3,528)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Copp
Duchene
P1
53.0%
54.5%
P2
51.4%
54.5%
P3
51.4%
53.4%
OT
39.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
51.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 1 | 13:43 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 16:46 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 16:45 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 03:10 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 15:41 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 10:52 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 01:43 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 14:40 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 05:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |