Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 54.1%). Copp wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.8% vs Duchene 52.8% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 72.7%
Defensive zone
Copp 70.5%
Neutral zone
Duchene 52.7%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Copp
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Copp
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (466)
46.9% (162)
+6.7%
Power Play
58.8% (119)
73.2% (56)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (124)
100.0% (2)
-54.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +54.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Copp is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Copp shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Copp
Duchene
Home
54.6% (346)
58.4% (125)
Away
51.8% (363)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Copp
Duchene
P1
55.3%
56.9%
P2
50.0%
52.5%
P3
55.1%
51.9%
OT
33.3%
80.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 03:10 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 15:41 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |