Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Duchene 51.6% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 51.8%
Defensive zone
Copp 66.7%
Neutral zone
Copp 64.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Copp
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Copp
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (693)
51.2% (324)
+3.1%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
60.4% (53)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (57)
16.7% (6)
+28.9%
On penalty kill, Copp has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Copp is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Copp shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Copp
Duchene
Home
54.4% (408)
51.6% (182)
Away
53.4% (410)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Copp
Duchene
P1
53.3%
49.6%
P2
54.1%
56.2%
P3
54.9%
48.6%
OT
20.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |