Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Copp wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Duchene 55.6% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 74.7%
Defensive zone
Copp 62.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 66.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Copp
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Copp
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
56.5% (566)
-2.4%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
61.3% (62)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
22.2% (9)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Copp has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Copp is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Copp shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Copp
Duchene
Home
51.9% (511)
56.6% (318)
Away
55.3% (490)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Copp
Duchene
P1
54.1%
57.2%
P2
54.2%
55.1%
P3
52.5%
55.6%
OT
0.0%
81.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 16:46 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |