Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 50.6% vs Duchene 52.1% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 58.1%
Defensive zone
Copp 50.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 58.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Copp
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Copp
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (559)
53.0% (723)
-1.8%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
49.5% (101)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
43.8% (16)
+3.8%
On penalty kill, Copp has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Copp is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Copp shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Copp
Duchene
Home
52.0% (348)
54.9% (408)
Away
49.1% (279)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Copp
Duchene
P1
48.4%
52.5%
P2
50.2%
51.7%
P3
53.4%
53.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
50.7%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | 1 | 13:43 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |