Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.6% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 68.9%
Defensive zone
Copp 70.9%
Neutral zone
Copp 71.1%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Copp
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Copp
O'Reilly
Last 10: Copp 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
6
Copp
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
1
Copp
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Copp
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (455)
57.3% (1,073)
-2.4%
Power Play
49.1% (53)
58.5% (258)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (77)
50.7% (225)
-6.5%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Copp is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Copp shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (962).
Home / Away
Copp
O'Reilly
Home
53.4% (309)
59.2% (765)
Away
52.5% (276)
54.0% (791)
By Period
Copp
O'Reilly
P1
55.6%
55.6%
P2
51.6%
61.0%
P3
51.6%
52.3%
OT
100.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
52.3%
58.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 10:12 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 09:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 12:39 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 12:35 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 18:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |