Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 53.9%). Copp wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 78.4%
Defensive zone
Copp 69.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 58.3%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Copp
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Copp
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
55.0% (1,084)
-0.9%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
56.8% (303)
+20.7%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
40.3% (149)
+1.9%
On power play, Copp has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Copp is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Copp shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Copp
O'Reilly
Home
51.9% (511)
54.8% (759)
Away
55.3% (490)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Copp
O'Reilly
P1
54.1%
55.3%
P2
54.2%
51.9%
P3
52.5%
54.2%
OT
0.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
53.4%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |