Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Copp wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.8% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 65.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 53.5%
Neutral zone
Copp 53.5%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Copp
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Copp
O'Reilly
Last 10: Copp 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
4
1
Copp
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
6
Copp
O'Reilly
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Copp
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (466)
56.6% (1,064)
-3.0%
Power Play
58.8% (119)
60.4% (260)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (124)
54.0% (261)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Copp is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Copp shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Copp
O'Reilly
Home
54.6% (346)
54.9% (801)
Away
51.8% (363)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Copp
O'Reilly
P1
55.3%
58.0%
P2
50.0%
56.7%
P3
55.1%
55.4%
OT
33.3%
64.7%
Final 5 min
48.2%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:31 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 13:26 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 13:36 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 1 | 07:11 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 9, 2021 | OT | 00:44 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 16:37 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 04:37 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |