Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-6.0%)
Offensive zone
Copp 50.0%
Defensive zone
Copp 55.9%
Neutral zone
Copp 52.5%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Copp
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
56.1% (690)
-5.8%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
64.6% (96)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
45.9% (109)
-0.4%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Copp is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Copp shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Copp
O'Reilly
Home
51.3% (667)
58.3% (408)
Away
48.3% (632)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Copp
O'Reilly
P1
50.2%
57.7%
P2
51.8%
54.8%
P3
48.0%
55.2%
OT
33.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
46.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%