Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cirelli wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Tavares 59.8% (-14.1%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 90.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 59.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 88.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 81.4%
18.6%
81.4%
Cirelli
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Cirelli
Tavares
Last 10: Cirelli 6-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Cirelli
Tavares
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
60.9% (1,043)
-14.5%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
60.4% (278)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
47.6% (21)
-10.1%
On even strength, Tavares has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Cirelli is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Cirelli shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Tavares
Home
46.7% (478)
63.5% (684)
Away
46.4% (470)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Cirelli
Tavares
P1
46.6%
60.3%
P2
48.6%
60.4%
P3
44.3%
60.1%
OT
44.4%
92.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 15:07 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 2 | 05:46 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |