Anthony Cirelli vs John Tavares
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Tavares 54.4% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 43-41 in 84 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 68.2%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 62.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 58.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Cirelli
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
43
-
41
(84 meetings)
43
41
Cirelli
Tavares
Last 10: Cirelli 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
13
18
Cirelli
Tavares
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
17
6
Cirelli
Tavares
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
13
17
Cirelli
Tavares
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
54.0% (16,108)
-4.2%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
56.5% (4,283)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
50.6% (620)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,600).
Cirelli shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Tavares
Home
49.6% (3,763)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Cirelli
Tavares
P1
49.9%
55.0%
P2
48.8%
54.1%
P3
49.2%
54.1%
OT
51.6%
55.9%
Final 5 min
50.9%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 19:26 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 19:17 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 00:25 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 05:36 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 09:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:38 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:59 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:48 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 21, 2024 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 21, 2024 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 21, 2024 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |