Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Tavares 58.7% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 56.3%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 70.7%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 59.7%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Cirelli
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Cirelli
Tavares
Last 10: Cirelli 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
4
Cirelli
Tavares
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
3
Cirelli
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
59.2% (1,035)
-8.3%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
60.0% (310)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
42.9% (7)
+1.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Cirelli is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Cirelli shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Tavares
Home
50.6% (494)
57.5% (668)
Away
47.6% (441)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Cirelli
Tavares
P1
52.3%
58.0%
P2
45.4%
60.1%
P3
49.5%
61.0%
OT
62.5%
27.8%
Final 5 min
47.5%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 18:16 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 02:22 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 15:13 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 12:43 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 12:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |