Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Tavares 57.7% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 88.8%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 52.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 82.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 77.7%
22.3%
77.7%
Cirelli
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Cirelli
Tavares
Last 9: Cirelli 6-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
1
Cirelli
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Cirelli
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
57.5% (914)
-5.4%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
60.5% (309)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
59.1% (22)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Cirelli is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Cirelli shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Tavares
Home
52.4% (462)
61.0% (661)
Away
50.1% (369)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Cirelli
Tavares
P1
50.7%
58.6%
P2
49.6%
57.8%
P3
53.3%
58.4%
OT
61.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.5%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 05:21 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:11 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:16 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 16:22 | Neutral | John Tavares |