Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Tavares 57.7% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 84.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 56.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 69.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 73.7%
26.3%
73.7%
Cirelli
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Cirelli
Tavares
Last 8: Cirelli 7-1 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
4
2
Cirelli
Tavares
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cirelli
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
57.7% (998)
-7.8%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
60.5% (271)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
56.4% (39)
-7.7%
On even strength, Tavares has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Cirelli shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Tavares
Home
46.7% (649)
59.7% (610)
Away
53.5% (643)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Cirelli
Tavares
P1
50.1%
57.2%
P2
51.1%
58.5%
P3
48.5%
59.4%
OT
64.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
49.7%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:59 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:48 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 21, 2024 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 21, 2024 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 21, 2024 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |