Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Cirelli wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Hayes 43.8% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 55.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 53.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 61.5%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Cirelli
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cirelli
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Cirelli
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
42.7% (478)
+3.7%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
42.9% (98)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
45.2% (31)
-7.7%
On power play, Cirelli has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Cirelli is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Cirelli shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Hayes
Home
46.7% (478)
43.5% (232)
Away
46.4% (470)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Cirelli
Hayes
P1
46.6%
40.1%
P2
48.6%
44.8%
P3
44.3%
42.4%
OT
44.4%
80.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |