Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Hayes 56.3% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 52.3%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 50.2%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 52.3%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Cirelli
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cirelli
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Cirelli
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
56.6% (724)
-5.7%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
57.0% (79)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
65.7% (35)
-21.7%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Cirelli is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Cirelli shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Hayes
Home
50.6% (494)
58.0% (405)
Away
47.6% (441)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Cirelli
Hayes
P1
52.3%
54.7%
P2
45.4%
55.7%
P3
49.5%
60.2%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |