Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Hayes 49.5% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 67.8%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 73.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.8%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Cirelli
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Cirelli
Hayes
Last 6: Cirelli 3-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Cirelli
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Hayes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
48.5% (557)
+3.6%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
53.3% (107)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
58.3% (12)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Cirelli is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Cirelli shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Hayes
Home
52.4% (462)
50.8% (313)
Away
50.1% (369)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Cirelli
Hayes
P1
50.7%
52.3%
P2
49.6%
47.7%
P3
53.3%
48.4%
OT
61.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:50 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 14:49 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |