Anthony Cirelli vs Kevin Hayes

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Anthony Cirelli holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Cirelli 49.4% vs Hayes 47.7% (+1.6%)
H2H factor Cirelli leads 16-13 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone Cirelli 51.9%
Defensive zone Cirelli 58.7%
Neutral zone Cirelli 58.1%
Result Anthony Cirelli favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Cirelli Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
16 - 13 (29 meetings)
16
13
Cirelli Hayes
Last 10: Cirelli 4-6 Hayes

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
7
Cirelli Hayes
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
5
4
Cirelli Hayes
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
7
2
Cirelli Hayes
9 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Cirelli
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
47.5% (6,708)
+2.3%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
51.7% (702)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
45.3% (697)
-1.5%
On power play, Cirelli has a +5.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,600).
Cirelli shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Hayes
Home
49.6% (3,763)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Cirelli
Hayes
P1
49.9%
47.5%
P2
48.8%
47.6%
P3
49.2%
47.9%
OT
51.6%
54.1%
Final 5 min
50.9%
49.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%
53.0%
49.3%
Hayes
30.0%
42.5%
47.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 4, 2025 2 11:34 Offensive Kevin Hayes
Jan 12, 2025 2 06:31 Defensive Anthony Cirelli
Nov 14, 2023 1 15:38 Offensive Kevin Hayes
Mar 7, 2023 3 15:24 Defensive Kevin Hayes
Mar 7, 2023 3 00:00 Neutral Anthony Cirelli
Mar 7, 2023 2 18:50 Offensive Kevin Hayes
Mar 7, 2023 2 18:41 Offensive Kevin Hayes
Mar 7, 2023 2 14:49 Defensive Anthony Cirelli
Mar 7, 2023 2 10:27 Defensive Anthony Cirelli
Dec 5, 2021 2 03:55 Neutral Kevin Hayes
Mar 5, 2019 3 12:17 Offensive Kevin Hayes
Mar 5, 2019 2 16:42 Defensive Anthony Cirelli
Mar 5, 2019 1 04:03 Offensive Kevin Hayes
Feb 2, 2019 3 11:52 Defensive Anthony Cirelli
Feb 2, 2019 2 06:47 Neutral Anthony Cirelli
Feb 2, 2019 2 00:06 Neutral Anthony Cirelli
Feb 2, 2019 2 00:00 Neutral Anthony Cirelli
Feb 2, 2019 1 00:00 Neutral Anthony Cirelli
Dec 10, 2018 2 18:48 Offensive Anthony Cirelli
Dec 10, 2018 2 00:21 Defensive Kevin Hayes