Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Hayes 51.7% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 57.1%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 58.0%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 51.7%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Cirelli
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cirelli
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
51.6% (386)
-1.7%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
53.2% (47)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
60.0% (20)
-11.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Cirelli shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Hayes
Home
46.7% (649)
50.5% (200)
Away
53.5% (643)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Cirelli
Hayes
P1
50.1%
58.8%
P2
51.1%
49.3%
P3
48.5%
48.0%
OT
64.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 06:31 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |