Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Hayes 42.7% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 62.9%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 56.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 55.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Cirelli
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cirelli
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Cirelli
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
31.9% (91)
+18.5%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
64.3% (14)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
0.0% (1)
+36.5%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +36.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Cirelli is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Cirelli shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Hayes
Home
54.2% (395)
30.6% (49)
Away
45.0% (509)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Cirelli
Hayes
P1
50.8%
22.9%
P2
50.0%
40.0%
P3
46.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.4%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |